By Aldgra Fredly
May 9, 2022 Updated: May 10, 2022
CIA Director William Burns testifies before the Senate Intelligence Committee in Washington, on March 10, 2022. (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)
China is
“weighing carefully” the resistance of the Ukrainians and the economic costs
incurred by Russia as a result of its invasion of Ukraine while keeping an
eye on Taiwan, CIA Director William
Burns says.
During
an interview with the Financial Times published on May 7,
Burns speculated that the Chinese leadership was struck by the ways in which
Ukrainians have resisted Russian aggression through “a whole society” effort.
Burns
believes Beijing has closely monitored the Russia–Ukraine war to analyze the
costs and consequences of using force to gain control over Taiwan, the
self-ruled island that China claims as part of its territory.
“I
don’t for a minute think that it’s eroded [Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s]
determination over time to gain control over Taiwan. But I think it’s something
that’s affecting their calculation about how and when they go about doing
that,” he said.
China
has refrained from condemning Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, citing
Russia’s “legitimate concerns on security issues” as justification. The two
nations declared a “no limits” partnership on the opening day
of the Beijing Winter Olympics on Feb. 4.
Russia
recognizes Taiwan as “an inalienable part of China” and rejects the island’s
independence “in any form,” while Beijing backed Russia’s opposition to the
enlargement of NATO, according to their joint statement.
However,
Burns said Xi is “unsettled” by the reputational damage of being associated
with the “brutishness” of the Russian leadership and the fact that the war has
led to stronger cooperation between the United States and Europe.
He
added that Xi is also troubled by the economic uncertainties posed by the
Russia–Ukraine war.
“I
think what the bitter experience in many ways of [Russian President Vladimir
Putin’s] Russia in Ukraine over the last 10 or 11 weeks has done is demonstrate
that that friendship actually does have some limits,” Burns noted.
Tensions
between self-ruled Taiwan and Beijing have been escalating, with China making
its recent largest incursion into Taiwan’s air defense zone on May 6 with
fighter jets and bombers.
Taiwan’s
Defense Ministry said it detected 18 Chinese aircraft, including 12 J-11 and
J-16 fighter aircraft, and two H-6 bombers, entering its air defense
identification zone (ADIZ).
Taiwan
responded by issuing radio warnings and deploying air defense missile systems
to monitor the Chinese warplanes.
This is
Beijing’s second-largest incursion into Taiwan’s aerial territory. The Chinese
military sent 39 warplanes into the island’s ADIZ on Jan. 23,
including fighter jets and a bomber.
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