BY ELLIE COOK ON 2/28/23 AT 7:56 AM EST
Above, Ukrainian servicemen and police officers stand guard in a street after a drone attack in Kyiv on October 17, 2022. Chinese-made drones allegedly set to arrive in Ukraine for Russian forces would likely have similar technical capabilities to Iranian-made Shahed drones, experts have told Newsweek.
Chinese-made
drones would likely receive "battlefield testing" in Ukraine,
trialing how they match up to Iranian-made "kamikaze" drones on
military and civilian targets in the war-torn country, Newsweek has
been told.
Chinese drone manufacturer
Xi'an Bingo Intelligent Aviation Technology was in negotiations with Russia's
military over the "mass production of kamikaze drones" for its war
effort in Ukraine, German newspaper Der Spiegel reported
on February 23.
Moscow's defense ministry could receive 100 units of the
prototype ZT-180 drones by April, reported to be capable of carrying a warhead
of up to 50 kilograms, according to the outlet.
But a company spokesperson
denied the reports, telling VICE World News that it "has no commercial
contact with Russia." Secretary of State Antony Blinken had said on February 20 that China may
provide "lethal support" to Moscow, which was also strongly denied by
Beijing.
Little is publicly
known about the ZT-180 drones, but they seem to be "a close
clone" of the Iranian-made Shahed drones widely used by Russia in Ukraine,
according to Uzi Rubin, a senior researcher at the Jerusalem Institute for
Strategy and Security and the Begin Sadat Center for Strategic Studies.
With their
similarities, Russia would likely use the ZT-180 much in the same way as it has
deployed the Iranian Shahed-131 and -136 "suicide" drones in Ukraine,
Rubin told Newsweek.
The reports also
indicate that Russia is burning through more Shahed drones than Iran is
"willing or able to supply," and may need "a quick refill from
China," he added.
But the ZT-180
single-use loitering munitions are "still in their prototype phase,"
according to James Rogers, a war historian and NATO advisor
specializing in drones.
If they did appear in
Ukraine on Moscow's behalf, this "deployment would certainly be part of
the battlefield testing to see whether or not they are actually able to
compete" with the Shahed-131 and Shahed-136, Rogers told Newsweek.
The Shahed-136 is a larger version of the
-131, with the former able to travel around 1,200 miles, compared to the -131's
range of approximately 550 miles. A similar range for the ZT-180 would mean the
Chinese-made drones could "quite comfortably hit key targets within Ukraine,
including Kyiv," Rogers said, adding that Russia is likely to
"double-down" on its drone strategy of targeting Ukraine's critical
energy infrastructure.
The Shahed-136 has a wingspan of 2.5 meters,
up from the 2.2-meter measurement of the -131, although details of the ZT-180
specification are not widely available from official sources.
Yet the technical capabilities for the Shaheds
and the ZT-180 will be broadly similar, Rogers said, with the Chinese-made
drone "able to carry a warhead, an explosive payload, of at least equal
weight, if not more, in weight." The top speed of the Chinese-made
unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) is probably around equal to the Shaheds, Rogers
added.
Shahed-131 and -136 drones are known for
flying low to their target at a relatively slow speed, making a distinctive
buzzing sound on approach. Their speed makes them vulnerable to Ukraine's air
defense, but they can often go undetected before shattering or exploding on
target.
"When you find
them, you shoot them. If you don't see them, you can't shoot them. And mostly
you don't see them," Rubin previously told Newsweek.
Yet the slow speed does decrease the drones'
"radar signature," Rogers said, and the cheap, slow drones have an
"incredibly basic" design that is the opposite of the costly,
hypersonic missiles that Western-designed expensive air defense systems are
prepared for.
A
crucial advantage for Russia of the Shaheds is just how inexpensive the
single-use UAVs are. Experts previously told Newsweek that the Shahed drones, coming in at
around $30,000, are far cheaper than the price tag attached to Ukraine's
sophisticated defensive missile systems.
Michael Knights, of the
Washington Institute, told Newsweek that the cost of defending against swarms
of cheap drones with sophisticated weapons systems quickly becomes
"crippling."
"At that point, you just give up. You don't use the
advanced missile systems, you only use your gun systems and passive
defenses," Knights said.
On Friday, President Joe Biden said
Washington did not "anticipate a major initiative on the part of China
providing weaponry to Russia," but told ABC News the
United States "would respond" if Beijing supplied lethal aid to
Moscow.
Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Mao Ning said at a press
briefing on Monday that China would "not accept coercion or pressure from
the U.S." and that Washington had "been pouring weapons into one side
of the conflict, thus prolonging the fight and making peace elusive."
She said the U.S. was "spreading disinformation that China
would supply weapons to Russia," and displaying "utter
hypocrisy," according to a Chinese state read-out.
Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin previously
said the U.S. is the "biggest source of weaponry for the battlefield in
Ukraine, yet it has kept smearing China by falsely claiming that China might
offer weapons to Russia."
CIA Director William Burns noted that a "final
decision" had likely not yet been made, but that the U.S. was
"confident that the Chinese leadership is considering the provision of
lethal equipment."
https://www.newsweek.com/china-zt-180-drones-compare-iran-shahed-136-ukraine-russia-1784315
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